The Yin and the Yang of Markets

I am reading a fantastic book on trading, first published in 1924, by Richard D. Wyckoff, titled "How I Trade and Invest in Stocks & Bonds". Although most of the examples in the book pertain to stocks, the insights into the nature of trading are relevant no matter what instrument you choose to trade.

I am particularly drawn to the authors' appreciation of the ebb and flow nature of markets and how this perspective can be used to great effect.

"It is difficult to over-emphasize the importance of studying the technical position, particularly when making a speculative commitment. Many people may say, "What is a weak or a strong technical position?" My reply is, in brief, that a stock is in a weak technical position on the bull side when it has been purchased and is held by a large number of outside speculators; when most of these are looking for a profit; when the price of the stock has advanced to a point where no further buying can be stimulated for the time being. It stands to reason that when buying power is exhausted a stock must decline, no matter how strong its finances, management or earning power."

"On the other hand, a stock is in a weak technical position on the short side when the bears have exhausted their ammunition by selling all they can afford and when the buying power of investment and speculative purchasers is such that it resists the pressure of the bears; in other words, when demand overcomes supply. The weakness in such a position is found in the fact that all those who are short are potential bulls; they must, sooner or later, cover their commitments in order to close their trades. They do not wish to remain short indefinitely."?. "Bears, after they have sold short are an element of strength, not of weakness."

Perhaps the nature of all markets is best described by the Chinese Yin Yang symbol.

In every bull move, and in every bear decline, are the seeds of their own destruction.

Malcolm Robinson
LIFFE Pit Trader & Electronic Trader
InstinctiveTrader.com

In The News:


Movers: Citi, GM, GAP, Dell, Wal-Mart
BusinessWeek - 7 hours ago
Forex Club Try trading Forex today with a free 5000 demo account OR start trading live and get a $100 bonus. Try Currency Trading Learn to Trade FX with a ...

Maktoob

Euro Back in Favor as Stocks Gain
Wall Street Journal - 17 hours ago
The single currency is trading above $1.2600 after it declined to $1.24 Thursday when oil prices retreated under $50 a barrel and US stock markets fell hard ...
Dollar Posts Weekly Gain as Stock Plunge Spurs Haven Demand Bloomberg
Traders Renew Appetite for Risk as Obama Names Treasury Secretary International Business Times
Yen Trades Near Three-Week High on Signs US Recession Deepens Bloomberg
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Runaway FX turnover growth tamed by crisis
guardian.co.uk, UK - 14 hours ago
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Bloomberg - 8 hours ago
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RTT News

Australia, NZ Dollars Drop as Stocks Plunge; RBA Intervenes
Bloomberg - Nov 20, 2008
Australia's currency dropped as low as 60.76 US cents, close to the low of 60.1 cents touched Oct. 28, before trading at 61.11 cents as of 12:25 am in ...
New Zealand dollar falls to 3-week low against European currency RTT News
Australian, New Zealand Dollar Decline on Equities, RBA Minutes Bloomberg
Australia, NZ Dollars Slide on Japan Recession, G-20 Inaction Bloomberg
Bloomberg - Bloombergall 41 news articles

Euro Forecast to Decline Further Against US Dollar on Forex ...
Daily FX, NY - Nov 20, 2008
EURUSD – Currency trading crowds have recently bought the Euro against the US Dollar, and we forecast that the sudden shift in sentiment may bring Euro ...

Kuwait Times

Forex Expo promotes currency trading as alternative to bourse
Kuwait Times, Kuwait - Nov 20, 2008
By Dana Khraiche, Staff writer KUWAIT: Currency trading has its ups and downs. Recently, one of Kuwait's largest lenders, Gulf Bank suffered a major crisis ...

Currency Trading Markets Remain Highly Correlated to Dow Jones ...
Daily FX, NY - Nov 18, 2008
Currency trading markets continue very highly correlated to broader risky asset classes, as the common theme of financial market deleveraging creates strong ...
Currency Trading Markets Remain Highly Correlated to Dow Jones ... Daily FX
all 6 news articles

China Daily

Hong Kong Loves Its Currency Peg
Wall Street Journal - 17 hours ago
That means Hong Kong remains cost-competitive with a major trading partner, even if authorities have to deploy their reserve funds to keep the peg intact. ...
Citi cuts 52'000 jobs, markets jitter and stumble amidst continued ... Forex Hound
ASIA MARKETS: Stocks In Asia Erase Early Losses To End Higher CNNMoney.com
2nd UPDATE: Some Asian Shares Turning Higher But Volume Low FXstreet.com The Foreign Exchange Market
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AFP

WSJ(11/11) Currency Trading: Bad Crop: Commodity Currencies
Alibaba News Channel, NEW YORK - Nov 11, 2008
When commodity prices fall, it translates into a shock for the trading position of commodity-exporting nations. Suddenly, the price they earn for their ...
Value Plays in Equity Markets Help Support Euro Rally International Business Times
Euro firms against dollar, pound sinks amid credit turmoil AFP
Yen Falls Most in Two Weeks Versus Dollar, Euro as Stocks Rally Bloomberg
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